Survivor: Redemption Island

The cast of Survivor: Redemption Island was revealed this morning... well all but two former castaways that will be returning.. hrmm... wonder who that could be?

so meet the cast and find out my predictions for first boots & the last one standing... (keep in mind that my first blog from last season predicted Wendy Jo to the be the 1st to go, Holly to be the last old person standing, & Chase in the finale.... so i'm pretty good at this junk)

the cast includes:

The eight first-time members of the Ometepe tribe are:

- Andrea Boehlke, a 21-year-old former U.S. Marine from Random Lake, WI

- Matt Elrod, a 22-year-old pre-med student from Nashville, TN

- Francesca Hogi, a 36-year-old attorney from Washington, DC

- Kristina Kell, a 46-year-old law student from Malibu, CA

- Grant Mattos, a 29-year-old yoga instructor from West Hollywood, CA

- Phillip Sheppard, a 52-year-old technology executive from Santa Monica, CA

- Natalie Tenerelli, a 19-year-old professional dancer from Acton, CA

- Ashley Underwood, a 25-year-old nurse and former Miss Maine USA from Benton, ME

The eight first-time members of the Zapatera tribe are:

- Mike Chiesl, a 31-year-old student from Del Mar, CA

- Ralph Kiser, a 44-year-old farmer from Lebanon, VA

- Krista Klumpp, a 25-year-old pharmaceutical representative from Columbia, SC

- David Murphy, a defense attorney from West Hollywood, CA

- Stephanie Valencia, a 25-year-old waitress from Long Beach, CA

- Sarita White, a 36-year-old visual effects producer from Santa Monica, CA

- Julie Wolfe, a 50-year-old firefighter from Oceanside, CA

- Steve Wright, a 51-year-old former NFL player from Huntington, CA


Which tribe Rob & Russell will be placed on remains to be seen.. and it could impact my placement predictions big time because they both have two very different strategies so with that in mind here are my predictions:

For 1st/early boots i predict Francesca: lets face it, young african american women are divas. they're bitchy, they're hateful, they're demanding, and unless she gets lucky like Na Onka & her tribe is completely divided and she ends up in the majority of that divide she's a goner... but for every Na Onka there are 3 Yazmine's..



I also predict Julie to be an early boot. I think Julie will be hilarious, most older women on Survivor are, but i don't think she'll last. There's no old vs young twist to save her this time like Jane had so she'll fall victim like Sandy from Tocantins and we'll lose a possible fan favorite too early.

i wouldn't be surprised to see Phillip go early either... again, i don't mean to sound racist when i say this, but Jerry, Tyrone.... older black men last about as long as younger black women on the show... I could see Phillip going first too.



my predictions for those who go deep in the game.. i would love to say Russell, because lets face it, he is pretty much amazing. love him or hate him, admit it there has NEVER been a player like Russell.. but i highly doubt anyone would be dumb enough to let him get anywhere near the end this time around.. but hey, who knows.

Young attractive women always do well (even Purple Kelly did decent) and this season has plenty of them, the issue is deciding which ones are Parvati Shallow & Jenna Morasca and which ones are Ashley Trainer & Tanya Vance...

Natalie, i can see her in the final 3. I can see her being in an alliance with a strong male and sailing all the way to the end... however she's only 19. I find it hard to believe someone her age will have the maturity to do well in the game. She strikes me more of someone who would rather tan and provide us with stupid one liners (i.e. "they get to milk their own milk!") but hey, being completely useless & weak has won one Natalie the game in the past.. and she too was Russell's puppet.. could we see Natalie 2.0?? i wouldn't be surprised if we did.

I think Ashley will do well in the game also... in fact i will go out on a limb now and say Ashley is my prediction to win this game. She looks great in a bikini. She looks more in shape than just skinny. She's a nurse. She's smart. She's a beauty queen. She has beauty & brains. She's small which means she'll come in handy in "those" challenges.. all Survivor fans know the ones i'm talking about. the one where you have to lift someone over a wall or carry someone on your shoulders or hoist someone up, that combined with her physicality (ultimately her ability to actually perform well in "those" challenges) and her brains to strategize makes her a huge threat... but with Rob & Russell both in the game she'll go unnoticed and, i think, go all the way to the end.

I expect Mike to make it to the end of the game too. He strikes me as Colby, Mick, Chase... he's that guy. he just looks like that likable guy. He's in shape. The men on his tribe are gonna love him for his strength. The women are gonna love him for his dimples. He's gonna have that James/Parvati Erik/Natalie Brenda/Chase connection with one of the girls and he's going to go smooth sailing all the way to the end.. will he win? ... well did Colby? did Mick? did Chase?

Those are my predictions for early boots & final 3...

now for what i like to call my "honorable mentions"...

Ralph, Matt, Krista, David ... and throw in Rob & Russell too... will finish mid jury.

Steve, Sarita, Andrea... i predict them all to be pre-merge boots....

now this is just based on cast photos & bios, once the show airs i'm sure my opinion will change. we'll have to wait & see...

whats your predictions?